DA Price Forecast
Day-ahead electricity price · DE-LU bidding zone
Forecast Summary
Generated 2026-05-07T09:00
2026-05-08
Delivery date
110.0
Mean P50 (EUR/MWh)
66.3 – 171.7
P50 range
56.4
Avg spread (P90–P10)
72-Hour Rolling Forecast
Forecast vs Actual — 2026-05-08
●
MAE: 9.4 EUR/MWh
Daily Performance (30 days)
●
7-day avg MAE: 27.8 EUR/MWh
Hourly Outturn (Recent Days)
Model Performance
18.3
Test MAE
24.1
RMSE
60%
80% coverage
44.7%
Skill score
Top Features
Error Analysis
20.2
Overall MAE
-1.0
Mean bias
1704
Hours analysed
By hour of day
By day of week
By price level
By month
Model: LightGBM (7-quantile) · Training data: ENTSO-E + Open-Meteo ·
Methodology